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Birkenhead Sync08/09/2026|
Birkenhead Sync08/09/2026|
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Crown Green Handicap

Carol Shickell

Team: ThingwallDivision: Division 1Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

866

Current Handicap

NQ

Needs 1 more match(es)

Honours
Season:

9

Matches Played

1

Wins

8

Losses

11%

Win Rate

16.0

Avg Win Margin

12.8

Avg Loss Margin

1-4

Home Record

0-4

Away Record

80%

Handicap Confidence

Provisional
9 / 17 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/12/2026

The handicap is built on a small recent sample (9 matches so far). It is deliberately conservative and will move as more results come in.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Decade Player1/10
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 9 matches

+9 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

28 Apr26 May1 Jun13 Jul27 Jul28 Jul12 Aug-13713

Gives 9 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current9
Win Percentage(40%)
11%
score-0.78→contribution-0.31
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
16.0
score+1.00→contribution+0.25
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
12.8
score-0.79→contribution-0.12
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
11%
score-0.78→contribution-0.08
Opponent Strength(10%)
1016
score-0.78→contribution-0.08
Weighted Score-0.335
Sample Size Confidence
80%(9/17 matches)
Rating832 → shrunk 866
Recent 1-Season Rating (2026)866
Recency Blend12% (9 recent matches)
Final Rating866
Handicap
NQ

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 500). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 17, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

1W8L9 matches·11.1% win rate
-12 since first recorded
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Thingwall2026Division 191811.1%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/12/2026Debbie Roberts (SA)A13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 1
7/30/2026Cathy DohertyH1-21LOSS-20LeagueDivision 1
7/28/2026Sue Lawson (SA)H8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 1
7/27/2026Wendy WoodH21-5WIN+16LeagueDivision 1
7/13/2026Val Cecchini (SA)A13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 1
6/1/2026Gaynor GreenfieldA4-21LOSS-17LeagueDivision 1
5/26/2026Kath Davies (FA)H10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 1
5/22/2026Anne Johnston (SB)A14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 1
4/28/2026Ann Blake (SA)H3-21LOSS-18LeagueDivision 1

Current Streak

3losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

1

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

5

Career worst losing streak

Last 520% win rate
LLLWL
Last 1011% win rate— steady
LLLWLLLLL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Debbie Roberts (SA)0110%8/12/2026
Cathy Doherty0110%7/30/2026
Sue Lawson (SA)0110%7/28/2026
Wendy Wood101100%7/27/2026
Val Cecchini (SA)0110%7/13/2026
Gaynor Greenfield0110%6/1/2026
Kath Davies (FA)0110%5/26/2026
Anne Johnston (SB)0110%5/22/2026
Ann Blake (SA)0110%4/28/2026
Biggest Win
Wendy Wood (+16)7/27/2026
Heaviest Defeat
Cathy Doherty (-20)7/30/2026
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
0% → 20%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
10217 known · 2 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
0-50% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
1-150% win rate
Division 111.1%
1W·8L·9 played

Debut

Apr 28, 2026

Latest

Aug 12, 2026

Seasons Active

1 (3 mo span)

Matches / Season

9.0 (9 total)

Seasons

2026